Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002617 0.002791 0.002978 0.003197 0.003446 0.003723 0.004058
2025-01-05 0.002321 0.002551 0.002814 0.003140 0.003542 0.004029 0.004682
2025-01-12 0.002095 0.002349 0.002648 0.003037 0.003542 0.004199 0.005159
2025-01-19 0.001969 0.002242 0.002577 0.003027 0.003643 0.004495 0.005860
2025-01-26 0.001791 0.002056 0.002385 0.002837 0.003471 0.004379 0.005910
2025-02-02 0.001728 0.002006 0.002360 0.002860 0.003589 0.004696 0.006729
2025-02-09 0.001697 0.001994 0.002380 0.002944 0.003804 0.005197 0.008050
2025-02-16 0.001646 0.001951 0.002354 0.002957 0.003909 0.005534 0.009204
2025-02-23 0.001630 0.001952 0.002388 0.003060 0.004170 0.006205 0.011519
2025-03-02 0.001570 0.001891 0.002329 0.003016 0.004177 0.006394 0.012717
2025-03-09 0.001507 0.001821 0.002254 0.002939 0.004117 0.006434 0.013502
2025-03-16 0.001487 0.001811 0.002264 0.002998 0.004306 0.007050 0.016934
2025-03-23 0.001462 0.001794 0.002266 0.003049 0.004504 0.007793 0.022609
2025-03-30 0.001411 0.001738 0.002209 0.003000 0.004501 0.008050 0.026702
2025-04-06 0.001352 0.001670 0.002128 0.002905 0.004397 0.008013 0.028916
2025-04-13 0.001319 0.001637 0.002100 0.002896 0.004467 0.008493 0.038190
2025-04-20 0.001248 0.001547 0.001979 0.002720 0.004168 0.007807 0.032292
2025-04-27 0.001228 0.001530 0.001972 0.002741 0.004291 0.008441 0.047219
2025-05-04 0.001222 0.001533 0.001995 0.002819 0.004551 0.009662 0.112535
2025-05-11 0.001202 0.001514 0.001983 0.002831 0.004663 0.010446 0.372016
2025-05-18 0.001201 0.001523 0.002014 0.002926 0.004992 0.012383 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001172 0.001489 0.001976 0.002885 0.004975 0.012759 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001139 0.001448 0.001924 0.002814 0.004871 0.012652 NaN